Voters Optimalization; A Game Theoritic Approach

A colleague of mine placed a political phenomenon into an economic framework here. Well, I think it was a nice one which makes me want have one in this blog. My emphasize is on the Optimal Voters achievement using the game theory model.

I simplify the case into a two party competition case. In this simulation, each of the parties face three possible options in which describes political preferences to a candidate in order to win the election. The options are; pairing with Incumbents, (Inc), Celebrities (Cel) or Military figure (Mil)

Here is the table:

		Party II
		Inc	Cel	Mil
Party I	Inc	1,0	0,1	1,0
	Cel	1,0	?	1,0
	Mil	0,1	0,1	?

I place this simulation in a complete vacuum in which assumes the parties do not communicate to each other. Party I is a dominant party in which has a bigger voter base than party II the mediocre one. I base the simulation from the precedent elections which have taken place throughout the country, ranging from municipalities to provinces. Moreover, I assume that all of the party representatives in the election are newcomers, leaving the partner into the above mentioned variables

If party I choose to pair up with incumbent, the party would most likely win the election (1,o) unless party II choose celebrity to be a partner (0,1). If party I pair up with celebrity, they will win the election while leaving party II behind since the odds will be on the dominant side. What about the question mark then? I will explain it at the end of this post.

And here is the interesting part, pairing up with a military figure would then justified as a winning ticket, well then, it serves only in a mythical manner. A party that choose a military figure will only sit on the loosing side.

So, what about the question marks? The question marks will only presence if both parties choose celebrity vis a vis military figure. In this situation, the winner would be the party in which their political engine works the most. A cadre based party like Justice and Prosperity Party (PKS) would undoubtedly have their benefits and would go against all odds.